Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.430485 0.508934 0.596355 0.700812 0.822043 0.958115 1.122227
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.341138 0.445630 0.572928 0.738710 0.948128 1.203028 1.535875
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.297222 0.424741 0.592957 0.829315 1.150760 1.570272 2.156398
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.237361 0.370025 0.558940 0.844268 1.260193 1.839364 2.700565
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.200937 0.339726 0.551877 0.894236 1.425714 2.210147 3.443061
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.169764 0.310201 0.539819 0.934197 1.583403 2.594501 4.266470
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.139590 0.275162 0.511775 0.943250 1.694303 2.924873 5.058945
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.115908 0.245749 0.486926 0.952359 1.806058 3.272374 5.929566
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.101456 0.230161 0.483362 0.997995 1.987847 3.761801 7.105493
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096105 0.231602 0.512113 1.108906 2.305488 4.530600 8.869800
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.084869 0.217674 0.507369 1.153043 2.503179 5.108739 10.365629
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071164 0.194601 0.478638 1.142292 2.590040 5.489749 11.541763
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.056926 0.166845 0.434730 1.092987 2.594851 5.722990 12.487704
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046182 0.144890 0.399309 1.055704 2.619268 5.999842 13.561088
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041867 0.139268 0.402616 1.110736 2.859897 6.761971 15.738522
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034512 0.122579 0.373709 1.080574 2.897726 7.092510 17.042209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030511 0.114908 0.367231 1.106702 3.075397 7.757644 19.162673
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026924 0.107447 0.359637 1.128437 3.245983 8.429572 21.382931
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023007 0.097528 0.342420 1.119884 3.337078 8.926297 23.260433
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019836 0.089198 0.328045 1.116615 3.441859 9.470240 25.317336
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018103 0.085798 0.328755 1.159048 3.680002 10.377651 28.366151
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018000 0.089011 0.352490 1.278125 4.154830 11.947527 33.235787
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016474 0.085688 0.352813 1.322277 4.418716 12.999263 36.908761